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House prices just 6.7% below peak

Average house prices in the UK increased by 1% in October 2013, making them 5.8% higher than in October 2012 according to Nationwide.

The increase brings the average house price up to £173,678, the highest value since the peak of October 2007 when the average house price was £186,044, indicating that values are still 6.7% below their peak some six years ago.

Robert Gardner, Nationwide's Chief Economist, said: “The UK housing market appears to be following the more resilient upward trend evident in the wider economy in recent quarters. House prices increased by 1% over the month in October, maintaining the momentum that has been building in the second half of 2013. After averaging less than 1% in the first half of the year, the annual pace of house price growth accelerated to 5.8% in October from 5% the previous month.

“House price growth has accelerated as buyer demand has picked up more quickly than the supply of new homes. The risk is that if demand continues to strengthen while the supply of property remains constrained then buyer affordability could become stretched. Indeed, average wages have continued to decline in real terms even though employment growth has been fairly robust in recent years.

“Nevertheless, while house price growth has picked up, at a national level prices remain around 7% below their 2007 peak. Moreover, typical mortgage servicing costs remain modest by historic standards thanks to the ultra-low level of interest rates. A typical mortgage payment for a first time buyer is currently equal to around 29% of take home pay, in line with the long term average.” 

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