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Economic gloom impacts on housing market

The UK housing market remained subdued during August, as economic uncertainty and lack of mortgage finance impacted on the level of property sales, according to the latest RICS UK Housing Market survey.

RICS report that the number of property sales per surveyor over the three months to August dipped slightly to an average of 14 (on a seasonally adjusted basis), taking monthly sales transactions back to June 2009 levels. Meanwhile, average stocks of property on surveyors’ books fell back to 67 (from 70 in July).

Respondents to the survey were also asked for the reasons why they felt sales levels continue to be subdued. The most commonly cited reason for this was general economic uncertainty (79%). In addition, nearly three quarters of surveyors (70%) felt a lack of mortgage finance was impacting negatively on transactions. This certainly seems to be borne out in the number of first-time buyers who are still struggling to get a foot on the property ladder. Some 40% of respondents added that fears over house price falls were affecting transaction levels, as many buyers and sellers stay away from the market while they wait for things to improve.

The sluggish market contributed to the downbeat pricing picture in August, with 23% more surveyors reporting prices fell rather than rose (from 22% in July). Price expectations also fell, as a net balance of 23% anticipated prices to decline rather than rise over the next three months. Interestingly sales expectations remain positive for the coming months (+17%), with surveyors hopeful of a modest pick up in activity.

Commenting on the above, RICS housing spokesperson, Alan Collett, said: “For the time being, our indicators suggest that demand for homes remain broadly steady, albeit at relatively low levels, despite the renewed bout of economic gloom. However, the risk is that the worsening economic picture will gradually begin to have a more material impact on sentiment and discourage potential house purchasers even where mortgage finance is available. ”

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