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Yield gap between prime and secondary widens

According to the latest Jones Lang LaSalle’s UK Property Index, annual commercial total property returns were at its lowest figure since the index began in 1978 of -15.1%, as total returns continued to suffer in Q2 2008 with returns of -1.3%.

This was due to the rapid correction in pricing over the last 12 months with all property income yields increasing to 6.06%. Combined with the slowdown in rental growth, capital values fell -19.7% over the same period. The latest IPD Monthly Index to June 2008 recorded a similar fall of -19.3% in capital values.

Jeremy Handley, a director in valuation advisory at Jones Lang LaSalle, said: “Following similar negative returns last quarter, the Style Index showed a divergence in returns between growth and value stocks over this quarter which reflects a bigger fall in capital values in value, or secondary assets. Over the 12 months to June 2008 value of properties recorded a -21.5% fall in capital values compared to -18.6% in growth properties. We anticipate the yield gap between prime and secondary stocks to continue to widen over the coming months reflecting the re-rating of value stock particularly given the risks amplified by a slowing economy.”

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