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Are Irish residential property prices bottoming out?

The property slump in Ireland may be turning with Brian Lenihan, Ireland’s finance minister, claiming that residential property prices are bottoming out.

When Lenihan was quizzed by a parliamentary committee in Dublin, he said: ‘We are very near it on the basis of the figures that we now have about the yield from property. The yield is at an all-time high relative to the assets which is a clear, objective economic indicator that we are approaching the trough.’

However, a report by Morgan Kelly, University College Dublin’s economist, suggest that property values may only recover to less than half of their peak values and remain there for a decade or longer. Kelly had predicted in 2007 that property prices were set to fall by up to -20% and had been criticised for having such pessimistic views but the slump proved him correct.

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