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Estonian economy contracts -15.1%

The Estonian economy contracted -15.1% year-on-year in Q1 2009, with low domestic and foreign demand depressing overall output in the Baltic state, according to the statistics office.

Estonia , like its neighbours Latvia and Lithuania, has been hit by its worst post-Soviet recession because of the global credit crunch and the collapse of a real estate price boom.

Their plight has hurt Nordic banks, many of which had expanded their loan portfolios and helped inflate prices and overheat the small open economies.

Estonia’s statistics office said the output drop in the first quarter, slightly less than a 15.6% flash estimate released in May, reflected a drop in activity in manufacturing, construction, retail and wholesale trade and transport, storage and communications.

It said: ‘Domestic demand decreased by 21.4% compared to the first quarter of the previous year above all due to the substantial decrease in household final consumption expenditures, gross fixed capital formation and change in inventories.’

The Estonian central bank’s spring forecast said that in a worst-case scenario, the economy would contract -15.3% over 2009 as a whole.

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